Optimism
Pessimists like to be wrong. Optimists hope to be
right. Tonight is a night for optimists.
Of course, it all depends upon the outcome you want.
I want the UK to leave the EU. I want the Republicans to win the US election.
In the latter case, things are moving my way. In
brief, both Democrat contenders would be worse than catastrophic. Hillary
Clinton is a liar and a cynical opportunist. She may be much worse, perhaps
even a murderer. Sanders is an ideologue, with a bad ideology, a stupid ideology.
Either would be a catastrophe. The example and history of Detroit ought to be
enough to make either Democrat unelectable. Sadly, the Democrats, the party of
the KKK, of slavery and Jim Crow do have supporters. They also have the New
Deal and Johnson’s disastrous War on Poverty with which to contend. But enough
Americans know so little History or Economics that even these episodes do not
make Democrats unelectable. Obama should have done so but hasn’t.
My excitement (justified or not) is based upon Jeb
Bush’s departure from the race. JB seems to me to be a decent human being, as
are his brother and his father. None of the Bushes is politically laudable or
interesting but Jeb’s exit does narrow the Republican field. Still remaining
are Cruz and Rubio. Both are interesting and politically laudable conservatives.
Both are decent human beings.
Regrettably, they are still attacking each other,
but in a shrinking field they have an incentive to join forces. Together they
could defeat Trump. Both should rejoice to exclude Trump, a man with no
apparent ideology (principles) at all.
What I would like to see is a redefinition of the
vice presidency. I would like the vice president to be in charge of foreign
policy. Were this to be the case, the vice presidency would be a very much more
attractive option for an ambitious politician. In the current situation, at
least, Cruz and Rubio would divide power between them and this would render
defeat of both Trump and Clinton easier.
Boris Johnson has wisely declared himself to be in
favour of Brexit. It is the patriotic choice and could lead to a Boris
premiership. The arguments in favour of our continued membership of the EU are
pathetic. It costs us 55 million pounds per day to share decision making with a
European political class which doesn’t like us and which wants our influence on
world affairs to be attenuated.
A UK prime minister unshackled from the EU
would be orders of magnitude more influential on the world stage than is
Cameron at the present. We are the world’s fifth largest economy and we are a
nuclear power. We are members of the Security Council. The idea that by pooling
our influence we have increased it is as absurd as suggesting that Norway would
gain parity with us by joining the EU.